How the NRA is winning

Posted by Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake on January 18, 2013 at 6:30 am
Source: Washington Post

 

It’s easy to think that in the wake of Wayne LaPierre’s angry press conference and theNational Rifle Association’s tin-eared web video on President Obama’s daughters that the NRA is losing — and losing badly — in the fight over the proper place for guns in American society.

Easy and likely incorrect.

The National Rifle Association is at the center of a debate on guns and gun control.

There’s little doubt that the inside-the-Beltway crowd and those who have been longtime advocates of more gun control laws are outraged by the brash style that the NRA has adopted following the shootings in Newtown, Conn.

But, there’s also plenty of evidence to suggest that the NRA is regarded entirely differentlyin the country at large. Polling conducted by NBC News and the Wall Street Journal this week showed 41 percent of people had a favorable opinion of the NRA, while 34 percent viewed it unfavorably, a margin largely unchanged from a similar survey conducted in January 2011.

And a look at the longer-term trend line on views of the NRA by Gallup suggests a striking consistency in the overall impression Americans have of the gun rights group.

Here’s the Gallup chart:

Screen shot 2013-01-17 at 5.06.54 PM

(Worth noting: The last Gallup survey, which showed the NRA’s favorable rating at 54 percent, was taken after the LaPierre press conference.)

With all of that as backdrop, there are at least two major reasons to think the NRA will emerge from the national debate on guns as a winner.

1. The NRA is already in the midst of a membership boom, as the actions taken by Obama — and, in particular, his executive orders — convince people that the threat of the government seizing guns or limiting gun ownership is real and, because it is, a counter-weight to that government is needed. (To be clear: Obama has never said anything that would suggest confiscation of guns is a possibility.)

According to NRA spokesman Andrew Arulanadam, the group has added 250,000 new members since gun control re-emerged in the national debate and added 400,000 more followers to its Facebook page (from 1.6 million to 2 million). Arulanadam wouldn’t disclose any information about the pace of donations to the NRA over that same time period, but it’s hard to imagine that hasn’t heavily increased as well.

The longer the fight on gun rights carries on, the more members — and money — the NRA will add. It’s not unreasonable to think the NRA will add more members (and raise more money) in 2013 than in any year in recent memory.

2. The likelihood is that whatever passes through Congress will be small, not big. While the NRA is fighting on all fronts at the moment — including opposing the executive orders signed by Obama — the organization almost certainly recognizes that some sort of measure(s) restricting gun rights is likely to be made law.

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10 Responses to How the NRA is winning

  1. Henry John says:

    The Dick Act of 1902 cannot be repealed; to do so would violate bills of attainder and ex post facto laws which would be yet another gross violation of the U.S. Constitution and the Bill of Rights. The President of the United States has zero authority without violating the Constitution to call the National Guard to serve outside of their State borders.
    The National Guard Militia can only be required by the National Government for limited purposes specified in the Constitution (to uphold the laws of the Union; to suppress insurrection and repel invasion). These are the only purposes for which the General Government can call upon the National Guard.–

    The Honorable William Gordon
    Congressional Record, House, Page 640 – 1917
    http://www.angelfire.com/retro/voices/page2.html#1902

  2. Henry John says:

    The Dick Act of 1902 also known as the Efficiency of Militia Bill H.R. 11654, of June 28, 1902 invalidates all so-called gun-control laws. It also divides the militia into three distinct and separate entities.
    The three classes H.R. 11654 provides for are the organized militia, henceforth known as the National Guard of the State, Territory and District of Columbia, the unorganized militia and the regular army. The militia encompasses every able-bodied male between the ages of 18 and 45. All members of the unorganized militia have the absolute personal right and 2nd Amendment right to keep and bear arms of any type, and as many as they can afford to buy.

  3. Shaka Laka Boom Boom says:

    The answer is simple. As soon at the governments give up their bombs, guns and other weapons, so shall the citizens. But not until then. And therefore, never. Because the governments shall never disarm themselves, ever.

  4. uhvtilfri13th says:

    mmm… how to sell more guns and ammo?

    Make them “Prohibited”!!!

    LOL

  5. WE HAVE THIS SITE AND IT. And thank you at this site I don’t watch TV I know whats true from this site and others like it. I love this site and all on it even if you think I an wrong on things.If I am I learn from you and others.We put the peaces together we all are a part of that picture the whole we need each other and Earth and God is in it to.The sky has no limit when we return as one tribe on Earth under God. That should be said to are Children in schools every morning again.

  6. GO TO: American National Militia go to that site it has vital updates from are good guys. The white Nights in our country. The info your looking for is on there as it is us are True media at this time.

  7. Energy Doctor says:

    Writers like Cilliza don’t get it. The NRA isn’t the lead dog on this, the everyday American who just wants to be left alone to raise and protect a family is behind this. Sure, the NRA gets all the pub from the liberal press who feels it is their job to demonize guns but the reality is the Great Unwashed in flyover country has less and less faith in the ability of our country and myriad governments to protect and serve.
    And unfortunately, our administration and government agencies is making it all too clear that independent people that are gun owners, former veterans and anyone who owns an AR 15 is dangerous to society and must be controlled. Our government is out of control, a drone killing machine that is killing folks throughout the world for oil, money, gold and power.
    The NRA may be recipient of some of this but the real message is that the majority of Americans are very skeptical of their government and want their personal freedoms and God given rights back in the hands of local government and the individual.

  8. Light Warrior says:

    Thank god the NRA is winning,this increasingly expanding government has already shown they want total control from cradle to grave as the liberals like to say.Our freedom is our guns.An evil government and only criminals with guns would mean our end.Remember Jefferson and Washington, “When the guns go,all goes” these words have never rang truer!

  9. js says:

    why is there a such double standard about this
    they protect their families & homes with armed guards
    Your post by James Gilliland says it well:
    http://jhaines6.wordpress.com/2013/01/19/james-gilliland-solutions-and-critical-thinking/
    “a world without predators and tyrants there would be no need for guns”

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